Re: [Day One] Kingdom Hearts Mafia
Right, as mentioned, presumably this is Xenahort's kill. The idea Pence or Hayner happened to get targeted
and someone healed Xenahort's target is simply too unlikely.
I guess Mawile could also have theoretically been Olette, but is that really even worth considering? I don't think it matters much either way; it still means he was an innocent. Pete's another potential dead role, but considering I've never seen a terrorist actually use their power, I think it's safe to say we mostly don't have to worry about him unless we try to get him lynched.
For once I'm actually not entirely certain about randomlynch. We have an awful chance of doing anything useful with it, and I can't even say my usual "well if you count all these other useless things!" because we don't have any extra innocents or the corrupt cops, just lovers.
Slim chance of information, good chance of destroying someone we might actually want.
Don't forget Roxas; the odds could be 3/16 if Roxas is town, 4/16 if Roxas is Mafia.
But... we have thirteen people.
Additionally, since Pence and Hayner only have a small chance of revenge killing, the alien is probably inactive, so we could possibly add that to the count. But we won't know whether or not we've hit Pete or Riku, so it's not like we would even be getting information from them.
Lovers + Maleficent + Xenahort + Pete + Riku is 46%, but considering that we'll only get information for two of them,
and that lovers add to the innocent count...
Randomlynching is still an option, but is it worth it in this game? Will it be any more worth it tomorrow? Probably just one more innocent will die, and we'll have yet another chance of Riku being activated.
It's a bad chance, but it won't get better very quickly, so maybe we should pick someone and get it over with. Maybe.