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Snom Mafia

I won't be doing hypocop, because without role reveals, we get the drawbacks (it can tell the mafia who isn't the cop) without much of the benefits. I don't actually know whether roles are revealed upon death, but I'm assuming they are not.
Though I don't know 100% what a hypocop is I'm assuming it's fakereading for the sake of covering the real cop and it's a good thing that you advised against it, because it seems like a semi-common thing to do, mafia wouldn't feel a big need to point it out. +townie points
Personally, I feel like we probably don't lose much by executing and voting as normal. I'm sure the popularity mechanic was balanced with the possibility of normal wagons and misvotes in mind, and I feel like consensus wagons usually kill town, but of course it depends. I do not think we should abstain - the numbers are pretty tight assuming there are 3 mafia, so I think we should take every chance we can get.
Fair. We've gone through this and I agree.
@Ysabel, just to make sure I'm understanding correctly - do you mean like we "elect" someone and have an unspoken agreement for no one to vote besides that person? Have you got any ideas for who that person would be right now? :O

- Also, sorry, but can you tell me more about your experience playing or watching mafia?
I like the way you're trying to understand instead of immediately making a judgment. Don't know how AI that is, but I think it was a nice thing to do. And the question about my previous experience was also nice. And you talked about your questioning, so I gotcha.
mewtini / Trebek / Mist, I’d be interested in any thoughts so far that you have :0 Particularly, mewtini/Trebek, I'm interested if you have any thoughts on Ysabel for proposing her plan, given that you seem to disagree with it.
See, I'm starting to see a pattern here and I think I know where you're going with these questions and they seem fair. I'd just kind of like to see your thoughts on those answers, because it's like, maybe they are helping you make reads or will help you make readss in the future, but maybe keeping your thoughts to yourself may make it harder for others to read you or just not know what your take was if something happens to you. Doesn't mean you have to answer everything, but tbh after Mewtini's comment about the question approach it made me kind of weary.
I'm still a little sketched out by how early eir read on me was - I don't have a good grasp on eir playstyle but e read as fairly "TMI-y" as mafia in Cats (townreading people e knew to be town, sometimes based on very little), and like, I'd made literally 4 posts, ~2 of which were talking about this game and not theory.
Ah, but now we know Koko was town, and e did seem pretty confident, so that's another +townie points for you. Even if eir reasoning wasn't the best but as I recall e did expand on eir read later on.
Vote Superjolt. I think we should start building wagons if we're going to be voting normally. I know he's got stuff going on, but I think pressuring him is more productive than pressuring either of the two inactive people at the bottom of my POE.
I'm not townreading [Mr. Ultracool, Superjolt, MP7] + slightly higher tier of [Mist, Julia, Trebek?, Ysabel?]. Not really sure how good I feel about my reads, and endgame sneaks up fast in a smaller game, but ehh good enough for now I guess. If you think I should take someone out or put someone into my voting pool, please talk to me about why!
Umm I guess this would be in line about that comment about fluidity. Like, I get where you're coming from.
I do not think Julia would go to mafia chat before posting, and I don't read any particular purity into the posts she did make. I still do not want to vote her today just out of like... giving some more time to a new player.
Fair, yeah. I see. It's not like mafians talk about everything they will do in day chat during night chat.
I think Ysabel's posting has been fine and rereading her posting I'm moving her up. Though a lot of the reasoning she gave in #275 was generic, I liked the specificity in her points about Blu, mewtini, and kyeugh, and the straightforwardness in her answering what she'd do in this game as mafia in #334. I feel meh about her shading people who have been less active, but that's my instinct as well. :/ I kind of think she has a limited number of possible mafia partners, as well.
Thanks, though. What parts were generic? I could expand on them, though I'm thinking maybe you meant the Trebek/Kyeugh part which I was kind of not looking deeply so that's fair.
You could be for sure, but presumably if you are town you aren't lying or withholding anything, and therefore an answer could give me insight into your approach that would allow me to correctly townread you. I also was just curious about how you think about the game, in general, since we haven't played together before but you mentioned some past experience in a different thread.

Also, probably not a super helpful answer, but I ask questions because I want to know the answers, hehe. Could be because I think they'll help me read the answerer or the person we're talking about, because I think the answers may be helpful in the future, or because I'm just curious and I like the social aspect of mafia. I don't usually make reads/conclusions directly about the answers, but I do incorporate them into later reviews, and I can always talk about what I think of a specific post or what I had in mind while asking a specific question.
Ahh. This part cleared a lot of it for me, yep. Partly the why these questions seemed more generic/more meta-related than questions you were asking others.
It's like... maybe possible that this game is sortable by post count? I'm probably wrongly townreading someone who's posting. But I think I'm okay with trying to figure that out later.
Hmm, I already talked about my thought on post count v post quality, but it's not something I'm scumleaning you for. Just like, I wish there were no inactives. (I've had my fair share of bad experiences with people who went inactive, not just for the whole game but sometimes in the middle of the game, and it's not fun.)

Also the realization of Koko being town for those reads on you/Blu seemed really organic, and with Koko as flipped town more difficult to fake.

These are probably fair but also, hmm... I guess I'm magnifying my own confidence / disregarding things, because if I start to let myself talk myself out of those reads, I don't really have anything confident either, hehe.

What was strange about Blu's ISO, kyeugh?
More on the fluidity thing. Not sure if it's AI but it does give me good feelings because a townie's reads will change as they try to solve the game.

vote Mr. Ultracool I guess

Superjolt hedges in most of his takes in #369 (mewtini and Ysabel are the only ones without some sort of qualifier). I kind of think this is a him thing regardless of his alignment, he wasn't able to say much more confidently after a bit more posting in early Cats... I appreciate him giving the thoughts at least and want to unvote because let's give him another day here.
What does hedging mean by the way? I haven't heard the term in mafia before.
@Bluwiikoon just curious, when you were writing your ISO on Trebek, did you already have in mind everything that you pointed out, or did you come up with it as you were reading? Is there anything that gives you hesitation on him?
Another good question and again I understand the thought behind it.
Superjolt is probably the most scum-looking person at the moment, but that could also plausibly just be a lack of time/experience/interest. For example, he popped in very briefly at the start of the Day when it seemed like he might be coming under the microscope for inactivity, but didn't stick around for long. More recently, his reads list was really very thin on information and most people's entries boiled down to "idk". I was also a little bemused when, in response to my question about his opinion on the representatives idea, he cited mewtini's argument against it - but she didn't make that argument until after I asked the question!
Ugh, someone tell me whether this is pushing something that makes Superjolt look like mafia or something that makes Superjolt mafia.
Well, now we know Koko was town, so at least this read wasn't fake. Though at the time I think you were already pretty sure Koko was town, so maybe that's not what you meant?
Ehh I'm at like... I don't want to yeet her today. She could be mafia, I don't think it'd be impossible for her to be posting the way she has been as mafia when she seemed to be going to take it easy this game anyway and she's a good wolf. Probably "actively" leaning town if I had to pin something down.
Hmhm. A thought crossed my mind that you could have been mafia buddies with Superjolt, but I think it's very unlikely that you would have started a train on your own buddy when there were other possible options so I'm going to give you more townie points for this. I want to ISO SJ and Koko later. Now that we know Koko was town.
idk how I feel about Trebek's vote on Ultracool and Ysabel's vote on Superjolt. woweek
Fair enough lol. I already explained mine and I'm pretty sure (basically top townread) about Trebek, but I didn't follow EoD, but if it was similar to mine then I say it's a fair analysis.
Townreads but be wary: mewtini, kokorico, Blu, MP7
Julia: Julia
Tonal memes read: kyeugh, sanderidge
Hmm: Mist, Superjolt, Ysabel, Trebek, Ultracool
?????

btw I think Mist pointing out stuff like not talking about the popularity to stop scum from PR hunting was pro-town / "helpful" (in a mostly-NAI way probably) and I'm curious why @Ysabel didn't think so
I already talked about this, but now I'm curious as to what you think of my ISOing of Trebek v Mist?
All in all, I want to say you read as very townie to me, I'm not sensing anything sinister or any hidden agenda, just genuine helping and leading. I also think you're good at playing mafia so you could probably still pass as townie when wolf, but I'm trusting my instinct here. Plus my other townreads/Koko/MP's reads on you. I guess now it's more of getting you and my other townreads to trust me, too.
 
kyeugh, what do you think might help you make firmer thoughts about this game?
time, i guess. i think i’ll be getting somewhere by the end of the day.

rip mp7. i wonder why her, and why now?
yeah, i honestly am still wondering why now. outside of a requested modkill (?) i can’t really think of any roles that i know of that would result in something like that happening
 
Uhh tbh I do not see what mewtini and Trebek are talking about, but I'll look at it again later.

Superjolt not voting in self-preservation before he had to leave(?) straightforwardly is like marginally towny. Although it shouldn't mean that much given that town should also be motivated to survive, and as mafia, he would have to consider losing popularity if Mr. U was yeeted and he was on him.

also, do we have any speculation on how mp7 died? from what ive heard terrorist kills normally have to be announced in thread, right?
I think the logical guess is a mafia (or third party?) one-shot day vigilante. I'm thinking one-shot because a dayvig that can shoot every day is kind of OP with low numbers. If it was a town day vig, that would be... a little disappointing.

I'm guessing now is because she hasn't been around but likely would be later in the phase? Why MP7 could point to some people, could point to the mafia wanting to eliminate a strong and loud town voice. Could point to me because she has a good read on me. 🐺

I'll respond to things later tonight (re: sande / Mist / Ysabel), just wanted to get some thoughts down.
 
i'll probably iso koko/mp7 like i said i would earlier for the sake of answering the 'why tf' question and return eventually? i think that's probably the best route?
 
General questions for you, do you have any thoughts on last EOD? What do you think about Superjolt?
EOD seemed really quiet and it makes me concerned 😰 Surely there'd be more pushback if either wagon was maf, right? I don't have a solid grasp on superjolt but I'm down to ISO if everyone else is 😄

Random quotes I picked up on a quick skim:
i'm actually going to go to sleep now, lol. not sure if i'll be back before EoD because i have stuff from like, 12 until 3pm/EoD and it's like 4am so who knows if i'll get up significantly earlier tbh. so i'll vibe on superjolt (still irked by his reads before and the tonal difference between those and the catsposting) and hopefully make it back in time for everything
I admit my reads aren’t great, but that’s where I’m at. I’m kind of just really having a hard time reading everyone here, despite partially playing in/spectating Cats I still don’t really know anyone here that well yet and then there’s even players here that weren’t even in Cats. I was already kind of struggling with how I wanted to approach things in this game but being hit with a wave of exhaustion has just kind of killed it for me... I’ve slept a total of maybe 7 hours the past few nights combined

Kind of just looking at the thread and trying to think about things but my brain is like “nope” so I’m kind of frustrated

Trying to read but kind of skipped chunks of the thread, but uh did anyone have anything for me that I might’ve missed?

I think I don't want to be on Superjolt anymore. This reads genuine.
Since we now know MP7 flipped town, this isn't a w/w defence. Could still be v/w 😔 I don't want to inherently read a lack of commitment to reads as wolfy due to my own experiences in, like, Cats, but it's also possible for them to not want to TMI. Will have to look at more stuff probably!

My gut wants to flashwagon sande, lmao. Okay, yeah, don't do that.
My gut is sort of insane this game. It wants to set more players on fire than usual?
Could the explosion be sande's work? Or, someone hoping to frame sande 👀👽
 
i don't think i'm as helpful here as i was hoping to be, lol, but
this is pretty empty. i didn't feel like i could find all that much in here, sorry
I'm not as keen as he is on Bluwiikoon though. It's true that he's meming in a similar way to his behaviour in Cats (2019), but back then he sobered up when people actually started talking mafia. In this game we're already making plans but I think he's made, like, one non-joke post so far? And that was proposing an abstention. Idk, just seems a bit odd.
there were some early posts where e mentioned blu as a baby scumlean, like here? there are other things i didn't feel like quoting but this got brought up some amount
chicken god: kokorico
pretty towny so far: Keldeo, mewtini
the grey area: Ysabel, Trebek, kyeugh, M Plus 7, sanderidge, Mist1422
uneasy: Bluwiikoon, Superjolt
poast moar: JuliaTheSeaTurtleQueen, Mr. Ultracool
eir most recent tierlist (strikethroughs mine)
Sure. My sanderidge thoughts haven't really changed much since what I said earlier, that she didn't react as if w/w with Bluwiikoon and had made a couple of towny posts. Slightly later on, she presented a slightly disorganised list of reads that lined up pretty well with my own, even though I hadn't talked about all of them in-thread yet. That made me feel a little more confident both in them and in her. But I don't have anything I would consider strong evidence either way yet.

Superjolt is probably the most scum-looking person at the moment, but that could also plausibly just be a lack of time/experience/interest. For example, he popped in very briefly at the start of the Day when it seemed like he might be coming under the microscope for inactivity, but didn't stick around for long. More recently, his reads list was really very thin on information and most people's entries boiled down to "idk". I was also a little bemused when, in response to my question about his opinion on the representatives idea, he cited mewtini's argument against it - but she didn't make that argument until after I asked the question!
As far as my vote goes, on balance I think I'd like to err on the side of being optimistic about Superjolt, for a similar reason to my opinions on our N0 kill in Cats (2019) - unwillingness to bump off the newer players before they've really had a chance to actually play. So I'm going to go for Ultracool. I don't really subscribe to "policy lynch the inactives" either, but I don't see a better target.
I should clarify I don't think a Superjolt yeet would be a terrible play in principle, it's just not the way I'm personally leaning.
hm. i don't think the koko nk makes really anyone look all that bad tbh. maybe blu or jolt? but e didn't really argue all that much against them or ... anyone, in particular. i think the rationale of "koko is a loud/authoritative town voice" makes the most sense to me atm
Look at that slank cover, let's kill Keldeo.
keldeo w confirmed tbh
Blu is town.
blu's gotten TRed off of tone a decent amount but i think mp7 being the most vocal pro-blu voice thus far would make him an unideal d1 target in the world where blu is a wolf, if the daykill was indeed mafia (this post comes after a decent amount of mp7 talking about blu)
Trebek's posting is incredibly awkward.
Actually, you know what, let's do this.
Trebek
i'm pretty sure trebek is town tbh but i'll put this here for the sake of fairness
(don't feel like quoting more mp7-on-trebek stuff but there's a decent amount; trebek came away getting about nullread though, see below)
d1 MP7 vibes-based reads

Never yeet today

Keldeo -- I see no cause for concern, but he's Keldeo... but also screw tinfoil and I believe I can confidently figure him out by d3
mewtini -- Reminds me of Cats mew, seems genuinely solvey enough, she's fine

Almost never yeet today
Blu -- Tone is absolutely impeccable, gut loved entrance post and subsequent stream, mindmeld with Keldeo, need to pressure for more reads but OK for now

Probably do not yeet today
sande -- Tone is good, content is ~fine, needs some pressure at some point and I would like to interact with, but riding with this for now

Ughhh maybe 1 wolf here but I'm not sure I want to yeet?
koko -- conflicted feelings, reads of Blu and Keldeo read like TMI, but gut likes recent posting, probably can solve with more data
Trebek -- conflicted feelings, gut very much disliked at first, but eased after time and interactions, also considering mew's thoughts here

Upper POE - could yeet today but not enthusiastically
kyeugh -- hard to discern given lack of reads, need more data, taking Keldeo's point re: agenda into consideration
Mist -- eh, no reason to townread at all really, but probably can clear with more time

Ysabel -- certain reads seem forced, need to interact with for more data
Julia -- new player, not ideal for d1 yeet, but *shrug*

POE - totally okay with yeet today
Ultracool -- effectively null slot, objectively a good play
Superjolt -- major contrast to posts that I saw in Cats, lacking substance, agree with Keldeo thoughts

Consequently, I want to add pressure here.

Superjolt
blu mentioned in the post above mine (835) that the bomb could've been deflecting blame from sande but given their high-ish placement here and mp7's other more enduringly negative reads, idk?
Tinfoil can go fuck off. Your [Keldeo's] posts are genuine.
Actually, I just found a reason Keldeo is town. I'm very uncharacteristically holding it close to my chest for now. Just trust me on this. I'll re-evaluate if necessary, but nah, Keldeo can definitely be town.
i do not think that w!keldeo targets mp7 on d1, since mp7 was his most active/vocal townreader and there are still a lot of people worried about keldeo's meta being similar across his two alignments tbh
It is possible... I realize I had TMI in Cats, but I felt like SJ could display a towny spark there even if not in a pronounced way. I still sort of feel eh about leaving them alive though because personally I detected more towny there on d1 than here
🤔
My gut wants Ysabel on fire, but I have not had a chance to talk to them, and I would feel incredibly bad if I led a flashwagon there and was wrong. It's not the right play right now. Trebek is another possibility, but eh.
ysabel scumlean seemed relatively nonserious imo, already mentioned trebek above
<superjolt's ~final post>
I think I don't want to be on Superjolt anymore. This reads genuine.
Then again... it could be easy enough to fake. Hmmm. What is the emotion here and is it alignment indicative. That is the question.
(she doesn't move off of joltwagon)
My gut frowns at that [sande's] reads list, but... not something I want to flashwagon for sure. Hmmm.
My gut wants to flashwagon sande, lmao. Okay, yeah, don't do that.
this post came up pretty much right before EoD, and idrk what the progression was since it comes almost right after the quote above (looks like the main thing that sande did between these two posts is give a readlist/vote ultracool)
i think that blu/keldeo come away from this one looking good, in order of 'bad' i think it's like jolt > sande > trebek
 
i am very interested in other interpretations because i think my logic kind of sucks atm.
 
yeah the hole in my logic is that i went for the most overt takes possible because i think it'd be unfair for me to let my wifom get in the way of like, post analysis/presenting it to everyone else
 
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