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Contest Pokémafia Spectacular! - Game Thread

player, vote target, prev > current VC, post #
(snip)
mewt stryke 0 > 1 271
qenya stryke 1 > 2 289
(snip)

I also think those vote tallies look … mildly towny for qenya (being first to follow onto a wagon on a fellow wolf could be self-preservatory wolf but sounds slightly implausible to me but not out of the question)
yeah

(sitting halfway down my tunnel) i do think it’s fairly possible that qenya following there at a relatively early point was a strategic way to gain cred, especially if stryke had said he didn’t expect to be able to defend himself or be active while qenya has been and expects to continue to be active. if they’re w/w it’s probably fair to say they were expecting one wolf to die d1 and wanted to maximize their firepower going forward, and qenya is i think more capable of surviving for longer than stryke is if he was going to be inactive.

my PoE is kinda like {qenya/myuma/wisper}, maybe sande, trying to keep my main PoE to 3ish considering there’re prob 2 wolves left

i had an offhand thought during d1 (preflip) that a qenya/myuma/stryke team is possible
 
player, vote target, prev > current VC, post #
rnp qenya 0 > 3 139
(snip)
wisper qenya 4 > 5 317
herbe stryke 3 > 4 366
rnp herbe 1 > 4 367
OK thank you for this, bc in the chaos of EOD I somehow got the misimpression that RNP had switched wagons specifically to defend stryke and move him from definite-yeet to a rand, and I was reading w!RNP in that situation and was very confused by y'all townreading him, but looking at this I see now that RNP switching wagons was in fact the thing that put stryke in yeet danger

I feel a lot more comfortable with towncore RNP now
technically what i think it did was change the rand from qenya/stryke to herbe/stryke (me moving to Stryke to bump it from 3 to 4 meant that i was leaving Qenya which took her from 5 to 4)

i say this totally trusting rnptown tbh
ah, good catch!

my thought process with this in mind:

if RNP is scum ->
if qenya is also scum ->
why would RNP start the game's very first wagon against a fellow wolf? implausible​
if qenya is town->
changed rand from v/w to v/w (pointless)​

if RNP is town ->
then RNP doesn't know who's v and who's w so this thought exercise is meaningless in this case​

I think I'm thinking the latter situation is the most convincing so I'm on board with v!RNP
 
fyi i will most likely not be here for the majority of the rest of the phase (and even if i do pop up, i won’t be available for long) — i’m flying cross country lol. i might be able to swing being around for EoD but i don’t plan on it.

ordered within tiers (higher = i TR them more)

town:
mewt duh

basically town to me:
herbe
jack

i think town but i’m not banking on it yet:
rnp
sande

PoE:
myuma
wisper (not sure of this/myuma placement)
qenya
 
i sorta think the game is too easy if my PoE is right though, i’m like paranoid it’s one of rnp/sande — any other team i’m proposing would basically have qenya as the only active member which seems like wishful thinking but idk. metawise i know wisper doesn’t like wolfing (at least iirc from snomfia) and i could imagine that her activity level might reflect that but also irl circumstances, etc,

no clue what i’d expect from myuma, i think their posting is nearly exactly null.

ok bye
 
i think their posting is nearly exactly null.
— with the kind-of exception of their herbe vote that i havent gotten around to thinking much about yet and probably will not until toMorrow.
 
EoD later today, folks!

-qenya (7) - mewtini (#397), Herbe (*2)(#407), sanderidge (#466), RedneckPhoenix (*3)(#479)
 
FUCK im so sorry i forgot this was happening until herbe came onto telegram just now... catching up now
 
first things first: like i told mewt i would yesterDay, i skimmed Herbe's D1 ISOs from the previous tcod games during the Night to see whether the "pushing someone at random on D1" thing was actually indicative of their townplay. here's what i put together...

this game: to be determined. random d1 accusation on me
anarchist cyberpunk mafia: mafia. random d1 accusation on RNP
knives alley: town (hydra with m&f). no random d1 accusation
ghost mafia: town. random d1 accusation on me
gym leader MFia: mafia-allied 3p. random d1 accusation on me
tarot mafia: town. random d1 accusation on jack
cats (2019): town. random d1 accusation on me
tv tropes: mafia. no random d1 accusation

tl;dr: it looks to me like it's totally NAI for them - not inherently scummy like i thought, but also not a clear townsign like she suggested. (and also they really don't seem to like me for some reason. 🥺 but that's probably just coincidence. right herbe? right??)

re: eod, i think the one thing to safely say is that RNP's behaviour remains extremely towny... i concur that sniping herbe makes most sense in context if you don't know that stryke is w. i am not sure what to make of herbe and mewt though. i could buy either aiming to earn towncred by shifting onto a wolf who, as has been suggested, might be less active - perhaps judging that they didn't need to push on me as it would be simple to get me voted out the Day after - and it makes me extremely Thinking Face Emoji that mewt just up there suggested i might have been doing exactly that. so i can't say i feel any better about either of them - and in fact i feel considerably worse about mewt now after she put so much stock in scumreading me off my off-the-cuff EoD post.

night action: lacking any better targets and not particularly scumreading anyone else, i frenzy planted herbe. frenzy plant is the one that blocks appeal as well as the actual effect of the move, but only if the appeal is below a certain threshold... but it looks like they went over the threshold, so no useful info there i'm afraid.

in reply to sande who seems to have been doing the most thinking toDay (and also explicitly asked me some stuff):

speaking of qenya: i'm starting to wonder if the Watch Out If I Flip Red post was aimed at me specifically, because in #197 where she's been keeping track of everyone's claimed move numbers, it's literally just me and her who have 4 moves. maybe she was thinking others lied about move count or was just throwing out any self-pres confusing possibilities she could think of, but. idfk. also i don't want to tunnel based on flavor but frenzy plant still really doesn't sit right with me. (on the other hand - would w!qenya really not think to make up something else??? help.)
it certainly wasn't targeted at you! and i don't particularly think it's likely to actually be the case, either. i just tend to be extremely no thoughts head empty around EoD, having usually already offered all my thoughts in a timely fashion... anyone who's played with me much before can certainly attest to that... so i gravitate to spitballing while waiting to see if anything interesting will happen around the wagons. in general i think coming out and offering a hairbrained theory that just occurred to you, even if it's totally implausible, is more useful to town than keeping quiet until you're certain about something, because it helps people see and have a record of your train of thought.

it does unnerve me that we haven't seen any evidence of this game's patented MF Bastard Gimmick yet, but by definition we can't really play to predict it so i think all we can do for now is assume the game is normal until proven otherwise.

she mentioned earlier that the other Cool move lilligant has is solarbeam, which isn't fitting for a roleblock, but based on the way that some of my moves have been finagled to fit my role i could come up with a fitting way to flavor solarbeam as a roleblock. "the pokemon releases a bundled beam of light at another contestant, so bright and startling it prevents them from performing their own appeal", or something.
that's not quite what i said! i said that solar beam isn't super fitting for a roleblock, but i also said it was no worse than frenzy plant. which is quite correct, i think; in fact the suggestion you make there is much better than the frenzy plant flavour i actually have. the point i was making was that i was just as baffled as everyone else by the flavour. (in fact that's how i arrived at the "what if the mafia don't actually know they're mafia" idea, although i think i posted about them in the reverse order? i forget)

anyway, qenya (for realsies this time, i have a vote, i swear) - if you're around toDay (pls ;w; ) i'd like to hear from you on your thought process re: the "if i flip red check your PMs" post, and i'd also like to hear what you're thinking about the state of the game in general. how are you feeling about Everybody Hated That on your poast how are you feeling about the votes and the flip.
i think i've pretty much answered everything else already, but i do also want to say that i don't think "Everybody Hated That" is really accurate either. the only people who've actually said they think it's a huge red scumflag are mewt and herbe. which i think we've established

---

personally i think herbe is the correct vote here - helps sort mewt, helps sort jack off their mutual "we know secret knowledge about each other and about the setup :wink:", helps sort me - but i'm not really expecting to overturn my wagon given EoD is in like 5 hours and not 29 like i thought at first (and i won't be around for it anyway). so this is mostly just to let you all know where my head is at, and hopefully engender some interesting conversations so that you can look back at them later after i flip. and also bragging rights later if i turn out to have been completely right, lol.
 
i think i've pretty much answered everything else already, but i do also want to say that i don't think "Everybody Hated That" is really accurate either. the only people who've actually said they think it's a huge red scumflag are mewt and herbe. which i think we've established
"...which i think we've established my thoughts on that."

not sure how that got cut off. drafts being weird with moving between pages ig.
 
(and also they really don't seem to like me for some reason. 🥺 but that's probably just coincidence. right herbe? right??)
i havent read the rest of your Poast yet but i love you very much!!!!! you are wonderful friend!!!!!!!! i just also totally SR you this game lol lmao
 
i do think its interesting that ive just assigned you Scum Vibes in my head repeatedly on D1s but idk when you were and werent actually scum? or the flips of anyone that i was accusing? maybe ill go back to my own isos and figure out who was what in those game. in any case ill take that into account in future games when i find myself side-eying you for maybe no reason lmao

GOd reading and comprehending a long post is hard
 
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