So, before I say anything else: unless I missed someone, 4/5 people polled (including me) said they thought Hydreigon was softing a strong PR of some sort on D1. So in the absence of further evidence to the contrary, I think it's a reasonably safe conclusion that Hydreigon was the mafia's nightkill rather than a vig's, and therefore that Negrek is probably more likely town-aligned than not...? Not that Negrek's still the focus of discussion anyway, but.
Another quick thing: I don't think VM's plan is a good idea even if you trust him, because it relies on a doctor existing, which is not guaranteed. Consider that about half the living players have claimed their free actions, and Mr. Ultracool is the only one so far (other than arguably Negrek) whose action is normal. Tbqh, I wouldn't even take for granted that there's a
cop.
Now... Having re-read most of Tofu's ISO, there are actually a couple more things that stand out to me as evidence for the Tofu/Blu w/w theory that I haven't seen anyone else mention yet. First off, her very first post contained this, which he immediately responded to:
Hey uh... Does anyone know when the times of the day and night phases end? Sorry if I missed it somewhere.
The phases end at 2am UTC! ^^
In isolation I wouldn't give that a second thought: she asked a simple question and he answered it. But it starts to become a bit more odd when they establish a pattern of call-and-response.
Not long afterwards, she presents her claim, and he immediately responds to it:
Anyway, I'll claim because I don't have a problem with people knowing, and it sounds like I wouldn't be a prime target atm:
I think mine like a one-shot ability duplicator: with my photography skills, I can choose a person to copy their action. Then, the next night or day phase (it said night or day? Are there day actions?), I will use that action. It could be useful if I know for sure who I am copying, but could also just fail if people fake roleclaim, so I'm a bit hesitant about it (especially now early game). Like I said, it's only a one-shot as well.
Just for reference in case people missed my other post: when I die, I can give two badges to someone of my choosing.
It's not me, it's you!?
That could be handy if we get inspection results on D2 or D3 :D A secondary detective! (needless to say @ anyone reading, don't out yourself yet if you're a detective, we need you!)
It's notable that Tofu's claim here doesn't quite match what she says about it later. Here, she says that she can copy someone's action and then use it on the
next night or day.
Later on, she says that she acquires the action immediately (although she's not told what it is), and can then use it on the
same night, or queue it up to be used the next day if it's a day action. That could be an honest mistake, but then I would expect her to acknowledge the contradiction.
A couple of pages after that is when Blu suggests what her "missing action" might be, and she immediately vouches for it as the truth. Same sort of interaction, just the other way round. All things considered, I'm liking the Tofu/Blu w/w theory.
Of the two of them, I think I'd prefer to vote for
Bluwiikoon. Why Blu, and not Tofu? We know, thanks to Mr. Ultracool, that Blu definitely performed an action on N0. Either, as VM says, Blu attempted to target me and was redirected to VM, or less likely, VM is lying/also mafia and Blu targeted him directly. There's any number of things that action could have been, but it happened before any deaths occurred, so it can't possibly have a badge cost. Speaking as the person he (maybe) tried to target with it, I'm not sure I want him to get off another shot.
Secondarily, Tofu already has quite a lot of votes, and since she and Blu both have pretty good wolf equity I'd rather they be our two wagons, rather than Tofu/someone else. Especially since each one's flip would either incriminate or partially clear the other. Be the change you want to see in the world.
I have a couple more incriminating Blu posts to talk about (even over and above what Jack said) but this is already quite a long post so I'm just gonna send for now and see if there's anything people want to follow up on.